Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will detract from our regularly scheduled program of NFL discussion to dip our feet and then also leave our college football picks on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the very first and only time this season we do so, as the previous week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA soccer comprising one of the greatest teams in the country, plus a legendary soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the debate after my friend Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet about the Steelers while the Titans were backed by me. Weve been swapping wins back and on so it appears like it is my turn to the wreath, as I endorse the Irish and will follow the squares putting the thick lumber onto a public road favorite.
After reviewing the college soccer odds nearly six days before this Monday night time, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered in a solid -20 round the board at all of the best internet sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning on the Cardinals although I like the Irish. Other than the place is it that you think Louisville could hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, a triumph and at least IMO, said a lot about both the Steelers and Titans management. Let us move to soccer, where the matches count and so will our records with this one.
Recall those Thursday night games Louisville utilized to perform against opponents? They held their own and engineered upsets. These were fun games to see and the Cardinals were an exciting club.
But just for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) owner, Louisville football last season was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders at Appalachian State and are out win matches and to alter the culture. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down in theVille. Nonetheless, this is a big moment for Louisville, a team which has the opportunity to begin taking actions in the right direction.
I have read in which the Cards coaches have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I enjoy Hassan Hall since the direct running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the defense, well, that makes me more nervous. Why you have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much flying in this game as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a group coming off of a dismal 2-10 album in which they went winless last year. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and trying to turn it.
While that may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a group that made it to the CFP this past year and owned one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points over the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 till they met Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The offense clicked on all cylinders averaging over 33 points per game.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to release, designed to gain any traction against a swarming shield that is Irish? Particularly when hes working with an offensive strategy that is entirely new and a coach?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville will have the ability to keep up and Im desperate to your sage wisdom and prodigious handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am glad to see in your last sentence youre coming over to the sunny side of sport betting, or youre simply being the same shrewd a** you are. I will let the SBR readers that are making that is decided on by school football selections. I am the first to understand Louisville fully pumped and wasnt only 2-10, but 1-11 ATS last season.
But that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons. A new attitude is brought by A new coach and this being a national game, Satterfield will market his team on creating a statement. Louisville does have to hope never and they will not be taken by the Irish for granted have a lot of fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly using all the blue and gold is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also a mere 7-9-1 ATS, if dishing out more or 20 specimens. That defense you mentioned might improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, even whenever you dont/cant recruit like Bama or Clemson, it is going to take time.
I was being a bit facetious because although you have an handicapping that was impressive restart, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, because Louisville might be better than last year but I would submit that they could be coached with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their document rendered by an coach such as Petrino you happen to be shooting blanks.
I know that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for sure and Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy road chalk, but on occasion the public is correct, and also in this case they definitely are. Until next week once we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, let us see what happens on Monday once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)