Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our toes and render our college football selections on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will most likely be the first and only time this year we do this, as the previous week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA soccer comprising one of the best clubs in the nation, plus a mythical soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us start the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet on the Steelers while I supported the Titans. We have been swapping wins forth and back so it appears like its my turn to get the gold wreath, as I endorse the Irish and will accompany all the squares placing the lumber that is heavy on a street favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds almost six days prior to the Monday night event, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best internet sportsbooks.
Doug, I love the Irish but youre leaning onto the Cardinals. Other than the venue is it that you think Louisville will hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes, Swinger, a win and IMO, said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to football, in which the matches count and so will our recordings on this one.
Recall Louisville used to perform against competitions that are big-name? They held their own and engineered many upsets. These were enjoyable games and the Cardinals were an club.
However, just like the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) proprietor, Louisville soccer last season was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles and will be out win matches and to change the civilization. This will not happen right away as the talent level is down from theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a group that has the opportunity.
I have read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I enjoy Hassan Hall because the direct running back. Than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the protection that makes me more worried. Why you have your Irish up, please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much flying in this game as the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a group coming off of a dismal album in which they went winless in ACC action this past year. This rebuild is akin to seeking to turn it into an F-22 Raptor and carrying a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a team which made it into the CFP this past year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the normal year and moving a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, just how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to release, designed to gain any traction against a defense? Particularly when hes working with a new trainer and an offensive scheme that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, save me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form where Louisville will have the ability to keep up and I am desperate to your brand new wisdom and handicapping expertise that is prodigious!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to see in your last sentence youre coming on to the glowing side of sports betting, or youre just being the exact wise a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers that are currently making school football selections decide on this. Im the first to realize Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 and sucked last season.
Like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons but that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A fresh mindset is brought by A coach on making a statement and this being a national game, his staff will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does have to trust the Irish will take them and not have much fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and the blue is ATS as a road favorite, also if dishing out 20 or more specimens, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. That defense you mentioned might improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, whenever you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it is going to take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was becoming a bit facetious because though you have an impressive handicapping resume, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this case, because Louisville could be better than last year but I would submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their record left by an equally inept coach such as Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but sometimes the general public is correct, and in this case they definitely are. Until when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, let us see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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